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Long Lost Bond Vigilantes Sighted, Gives Dollar Fillip
May 13, 2021
It is as if the bond vigilantes were pushed too far. US inflation is accelerating more than expected, and it cannot all be attributed to the base effect, and the Federal Reserve, to many investors, is...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
The Dollar Stabilizes But Stocks, Not So Much
May 12, 2021
The markets remain on edge. Asia Pacific and US equities have yet to find stable footing, and inflation fears are elevated. The foreign exchange market has turned quiet as the dollar consolidates its...
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Remains on the Defensive
May 10, 2021
Last week's cyberattack on the largest US gasoline pipeline continues to lift oil and gasoline prices. The June gasoline futures gapped higher to extend last week's 2.4% but has subsequently moved...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Energy
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Dollar Breaks Down
May 09, 2021
The dollar was struggling to sustain upticks when the market anticipated a million new jobs were created in April. It was sold off in disappointment that only a quarter of the expected jobs...
Via
Talk Markets
US and Canadian Employment Reports Ahead of the Weekend
May 07, 2021
Ahead of a report that is expected to show that employment jumped by around a million in the US last month, the dollar remains lower on the week against all the major currencies and all but a handful...
Via
Talk Markets
Post-Holiday Blues in China While UK Sends Navy Vessels to Deter French Fisherman Blockade of Jersey
May 06, 2021
The JP Morgan Emerging Market Currency Index is posting gains for the third session this week. Gold is edging closer to $1800 again that held it back earlier this week.
Via
Talk Markets
The Commentariat Makes A Big Deal of Yellen's Comments, Markets Don't
May 05, 2021
Disappointing German, French, and Italian PMI reports helped send the euro to almost $1.1985, its lowest level in about two and a half weeks, and weighed on other regional currencies.
Via
Talk Markets
May Fourth Be With The Dollar
May 04, 2021
After seeing its pre-weekend gains pared yesterday, partly due to some disappointing data, the US bounced back today.
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Consolidates Pre-Weekend Advance
May 03, 2021
The capital markets are off to a cautious start of a week that features the central bank meetings in the UK, Australia, Norway, Poland, Czech, Turkey, and Brazil.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Dollar Can Build On The Pre-Weekend Gains
May 02, 2021
The US dollar traded heavily most of last week but rebounded ahead of the weekend, with some month-end flows impacting. The Japanese yen was a notable exception. The rise in US yields helped lift the...
Via
Talk Markets
US GDP: The V
April 29, 2021
The market's initial reaction to the Federal Reserve statement and the press conference was that it was dovish: the 10-year yield slipped, and the dollar was sold to new lows.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Biden And Powell Are Center Stage
April 28, 2021
It appears that the backing up of US yields is giving the dollar a better tone and challenging the Eurosystem, which has stepped up its bond purchases. The US 10 Yr yield is 1.65%, roughly a two-week...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Markets Mark Time Ahead of Fed
April 27, 2021
Short-covering ahead of the FOMC's outcome tomorrow appears to be lending the US dollar support today.
Via
Talk Markets
Big Week Begins Quietly, With The Greenback Still Under Pressure
April 26, 2021
What promises to be a notable week has begun off quietly: the US, EMU, and South Korea report Q1 GDP. The eurozone also provides its first estimate of April inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Is Heavy Ahead Of What Is Expected To Be A Dovish Fed
April 25, 2021
The US dollar had another rough week, and the poor close ahead of the weekend warns that the downside may not be exhausted.
Via
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Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Greenback Slips Into The Weekend
April 23, 2021
Many narratives link the prospect of higher capital gains tax on about a third of 1% of Americans as the catalyst for losses in US equities yesterday (and Bitcoin) and weakness in some global shares...
Via
Talk Markets
ECB In Focus, While Australia Pokes The Panda
April 22, 2021
The capital markets are mostly quiet ahead of the ECB meeting, today's highlight. The rise in US equities yesterday is helping lift equities today.
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Finds Some Traction, While Bank Of Canada Highlights The North American Session
April 21, 2021
The sell-off in US equities yesterday helped drag the Asia Pacific bourses lower today, with the Nikkei leading the way with a 2% drop.
Via
Talk Markets
Market Has Second Thoughts About Timing Of First Fed Hike
April 20, 2021
Even as US yields edge higher, the dollar struggles. With the 10-year Treasury yields now at 1.62%, nine basis points above last week's lows, the greenback has turned mixed against the major...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Market Briefing For Tuesday, Apr. 20
April 20, 2021
Portfolio 'convexity' - as managers term internal sector rotation, is really what the market is counting on to hold together. Extreme liquidity being shoved into the capital markets includes pension...
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Slide Extends
April 19, 2021
The selling pressure on the greenback, evident last week, despite a series of stronger than expected economic reports, carries over into the new week's activity.
Via
Talk Markets
If Stronger Than Expected Inflation, Consumption, And Jobs Didn't Lift The Greenback, What Will?
April 18, 2021
The dollar had a rough week. Despite a series of economic data showing that the US economy was surging by more than expected, the greenback failed to muster any traction and fell against all the major...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Treasuries: The Dog That Did Not Bark
April 16, 2021
Like the dog that did not bark, the long-term US yields tumbled despite data that confirms the acceleration of the US economy and labor market.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Data To Show Surging US Growth, But Is That Enough To Lend The Dollar Support?
April 15, 2021
Ahead of what is expected to be reports confirming the surging US economy, the dollar remains on its back foot, unable to sustain even modest upticks.
Via
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Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
The Greenback Continues to Trade Heavily
April 14, 2021
US officials called for a pause in the J&J vaccine, and the company has delayed the rollout in Europe.
Via
Talk Markets
Capital Markets Look For Direction
April 12, 2021
Risk appetites have not returned from the weekend. Equities are heavy, and bond yields softer. The dollar is drifting lower in Europe.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
The Dollar May Be At An Inflection Point
April 11, 2021
The US dollar softened last week and it continued to pare the gains scored in the second half of March. The dollar's inability to gain after the much stronger than expected March employment data may...
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Can't Put Inflation Genie Back in the Bottle
April 08, 2021
China’s digital Yuan threatens both Bitcoin and the US Dollar.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Calm Capital Markets See the Dollar Drift
April 08, 2021
Global stocks are moving higher today. Fears of a new lockdown in Tokyo amid rising covid cases weighed on Japanese stocks, a notable exception as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for its fifth session...
Via
Talk Markets
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