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High Yield Signal Does Not Align With Long-term Bearish Outcomes
September 06, 2023
The weekly Ichimoku Cloud chart for the SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF shows a trend that rolled over in early 2022, formed a base in 2H 2022, and resumed an uptrend in 2023.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
The Short-Term Downtrend Flipped Up
September 02, 2023
The market's short-term trend flipped from down to up this past week. It is amazing to me that at the bottom of each of these downtrends, it almost always feels like the market is falling off a cliff....
Via
Talk Markets
Major Asset Classes: August 2023 Performance Review
September 02, 2023
Cash led the performance race in August for the major asset classes, based on a set of proxy ETFs.
Via
Talk Markets
Municipal Bond ETFs Attract Second-Largest Weekly Inflow Of 2023
September 01, 2023
During the week that ended August 30, 2023, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the third week in four, adding a net $7.5...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Bonds, Secular Bear Market: Impact on Small Caps
August 28, 2023
Small caps as measured by IWM are key for the fall and into 2024. You can also look at S&P 600 - IJS.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
How High Will U.S. Yields Fly?
August 18, 2023
The overriding theme continues to be one of
Via
Talk Markets
Key Bond Break
August 17, 2023
Yet another failure of a key trendline, this time for the high-yield bond fund.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Make Junk Great Again
August 03, 2023
Via
Talk Markets
Investors Give A Cold Shoulder To Equity Funds For The Fund-Flows Week
August 25, 2023
Investors were net sellers of fund assets (including those of conventional funds and ETFs) for the first week in three, withdrawing a net $16.7 billion.
Via
Talk Markets
High Quality Bond Funds Get Bigger, Junk And Growth Fund Shrink - ETF Winners And Losers: Mid-Cap Fund Flows
August 22, 2023
We performed a screening of mid-cap ETFs - defined as having Assets Under Management (AUM) between $2 billion and $10 billion - to determine what funds had the largest change in net assets on the week,...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
ETFs
Foreign Bonds Lead US Fixed Income So Far In 2023
August 10, 2023
The global rise in interest rates may be peaking, a view that’s helped lift most corners of foreign bond markets year to date, based on a set of ETFs.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Distributions Help Lift Most Slices Of US Bond Market In 2023
August 03, 2023
Interest rates continue climbing this year, but that hasn’t stopped bonds from rallying in 2023 when measured in total-return terms.
Via
Talk Markets
Stock Price Trends Are Out Of Sync
July 29, 2023
The chart of the PMO index has been showing a lot of choppiness since May, and it means that individual stock prices are not moving in the same direction the way they usually do. Individual stock price...
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds “Pennant Pattern” Nears Critical Point For Investors
June 12, 2023
When we look at junk bonds, we see a narrowing pennant pattern that is likely to resolve soon.
Via
Talk Markets
18 Charts That Say 'Long-Term Opportunity In Stock Market'
July 21, 2023
The odds associated with all investments (ETFs, individual stocks, bonds, etc.) are impacted by the market's tolerance for risk, which can be monitored numerous ways.
Via
Talk Markets
Desperately Seeking Yield - Thursday, July 20
July 20, 2023
Are we at or near peak yields for risk assets? The possibility is looking more likely these days.
Via
Talk Markets
Move Over Small-Cap Stocks. The Great Rotation Into Bonds Is Coming Next.
July 17, 2023
Investors often except a rotation from large-cap stocks to small-cap stocks. This time, the big move could be into bonds.
Via
InvestorPlace
The Second Week Of Market Uncertainty
July 16, 2023
The market trend was certainly an upward one this past week, so it might be surprising to see that I've marked the trend as
Via
Talk Markets
Corporate Bankruptcy Wave Just Started
July 12, 2023
Unlike government bonds that typically rise while stock prices fathom bear market lows, higher-risk corporate bonds tend to fall with risk appetite and equity prices.
Via
Talk Markets
Hope By Way Of ETFs
July 09, 2023
In the same manner as I did with the prior post about indexes, I wanted to offer some reflections on what I think recent ETF action might mean for markets in general. Below are seven major ETFs, in...
Via
Talk Markets
Uncertain On How To Define The Short-Term Market Trend
July 08, 2023
The market has been choppy and difficult to read lately, so I am uncertain on how to define the short-term trend. However, based on the PMO index, which is pointing decisively lower, the majority of...
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Uptrend Continues As Things Get Interesting
June 18, 2023
The short-term market uptrend looks set to continue. I have been traveling and have not been watching the market anywhere near as much as I usually do. But now I'm refocusing on stocks, and things are...
Via
Talk Markets
Bears In Tougher Spot With Small Caps & Junk Jumping
June 07, 2023
Tuesday’s market action in the downtrodden mid and small caps certainly answered the question as to whether Friday was a one-day wonder. It also kicked the bears right in the teeth.
Via
Talk Markets
Speculators Drop 2-Year, 5-Year & 10-Year Bonds Bets To New Record Lows
June 04, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower this week as four out of the nine bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other five markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
History Of Recessions And Impact On Today's Stock Market
June 03, 2023
Countless data points are reviewed by market participants and economists to gauge recession odds. What can we learn from it in June 2023? What does it tell us about the current rally in stocks - doomed...
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Continue To Raise Record Bearish Bets In 2-Year And 5-Year Treasuries
May 21, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were higher this week as seven out of the nine bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other two markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Drop Their 2-Year & 5-Year Bets To Record Lows
May 14, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were higher this week as five out of the nine bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other four markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
Key To The 2023-24 Market Puzzle: What Does History Say About Fed Pause Vs. Pivot?
May 13, 2023
The complexities of forecasting in 2023 include: The market is betting on Fed rate cuts and a soft landing; is that a reasonable assumption? What will break the logjam?
Via
Talk Markets
Regional Banking Worries Lead To Sector-Financial/Banking Funds Logging Largest Weekly Outflow Of 2023
May 12, 2023
During fund flows week that ended May 10, 2023, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the third straight week, adding a net of $13.4...
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Downtrend Continues Despite Sideways Movement
May 06, 2023
The short-term downtrend looks set to continue, although there have been two or three very strong sessions since the downtrend began. Even though the majority of stocks have declined, the market has...
Via
Talk Markets
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