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September 01, 2020 1:25pm
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The risks to the disinflation and soft-landing bull case

Ever since the softer-than-expected June CPI report, the Wall Street narrative has pivoted toward disinflation and a soft landing. The disinflationary trend had been building for some time and inflation has been surprising to the downside around the world. 
 As a consequence, the markets have taken a risk-on tone in anticipation of less hawkish tones from major central banks. Nevertheless, I would like to sound a word of warning of the risks in the disinflation and soft-landing scenario. Investing isn’t easy, and seemingly bullish scenarios could easily shift at a moment’s notice.
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