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After a Record Year, PC Workstation Shipments to Slow in 2023 but Future Outlook Remains Solid, According to IDC

The global desktop and mobile workstation market began 2022 with strong momentum but ultimately faced saturation and economic realities near the year's end. Unit shipments in the fourth quarter of 2022 (22Q4) shrank 22.2% compared to a year ago as IT device spending slowed amidst economic concerns and fulfillment of backlogged orders, according to the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Workstation Tracker.

For the entire year, the market still managed to achieve a shipment record of nearly 7.7 million units, growing 2.1% and surpassing the previous record of 7.5 million set in 2021. Unlike the year prior, which saw unprecedented mobile workstation adoption due to work from home, the gains in 2022 came from the return to office momentum that sparked a desktop workstation recovery while the mobile side was flat. Nonetheless, one permanent change wrought by COVID-19 is that IDC expects the mobile form factor to be the dominant device going forward in markets where hybrid work has taken root.

"We had four consecutive quarters where shipments exceeded two million units from the third quarter of 2021 through the second quarter of 2022," said Jay Chou, research manager, Worldwide Client Devices Tracker. "This was well above historical norms and proved unsustainable in the face of tightened budgets and ongoing inflation. After two years of strong purchases, we expect corporate IT to divert away from endpoint devices and we'll likely see 2023 volume shrink 4.2%. This is a slight change from our previous forecast which expected a milder contraction. However, beyond the short-term challenges, we believe new model launches, Windows 11 transition, and other drivers should lead to growth from 2024."

Company Highlights

Dell remained in the top spot, wrapping up 2022 as the only vendor with share gains. The vendor's measured approach to inventory management helped it weather the sector downturn better than others. At number two, HP Inc. continued its focus on mobile form factors but was hurt by earlier aggressive channel shipments. Third place vendor Lenovo saw its share dip for the year due to slowing demand for its premium and value-tier models. ASUS maintained its niche in the desktop workstation space and overtook NEC in 2022 for the fourth spot.

Top 5 Companies, Worldwide PC Workstation Shipments, Market Share, and Year-Over-Year Growth, Q4 2022 (shipments in thousands of units)

Company

4Q22 Shipments

4Q22 Market Share

4Q21 Shipments

4Q21 Market Share

4Q22/4Q21 Growth

1. Dell Technologies

793.5

45.5%

913.6

40.8%

-13.1%

2. HP Inc.

543.9

31.2%

757.5

33.8%

-28.2%

3. Lenovo

396.9

22.7%

559.8

25.0%

-29.1%

4. ASUS

5.5

0.3%

3.6

0.2%

+54.3%

5. NEC

4.6

0.3%

6.6

0.3%

-31.1%

Total

1,744.4

100.0%

2,241.1

100.0%

-22.2%

Source: IDC Quarterly Workstation Tracker, March 2023

Top 5 Companies, Worldwide PC Workstation Shipments, Market Share, and Year-Over-Year Growth, 2022 (shipments in thousands of units)

Company

2022 Shipments

2022 Market Share

2021 Shipments

2021 Market Share

2022/2021 Growth

1. Dell Technologies

3,171.2

41.4%

2,979.6

39.8%

+6.4%

2. HP Inc.

2,580.4

33.7%

2,549.3

34.0%

+1.2%

3. Lenovo

1,860.0

24.3%

1,920.9

25.6%

-3.2%

4. ASUS

24.5

0.3%

19.7

0.3%

+24.3%

5. NEC

20.1

0.3%

26.1

0.3%

-22.7%

Total

7,656.2

100.0%

7,495.6

100.0%

+2.1%

Source: IDC Quarterly Workstation Tracker, March 2023

Looking ahead, IDC expects global shipments to decline 4.2% year over year in 2023 as the market cools and the focus shifts to inventory clearing and budget discipline. Beyond 2023, expanding workload requirements should stimulate shipments to help drive solid recoveries in 2024 and 2025.

A graphic illustrating IDC's forecast for the worldwide workstation market is available by viewing this press release on IDC.com.

IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Workstation Tracker gathers detailed market data in over 90 countries. The research includes historical and forecast trend analysis among other data. Workstations are client computers that are specifically designed and configured to meet technical computing requirements.

About IDC Trackers

IDC Tracker products provide accurate and timely market size, company share, and forecasts for hundreds of technology markets from more than 100 countries around the globe. Using proprietary tools and research processes, IDC's Trackers are updated on a semiannual, quarterly, and monthly basis. Tracker results are delivered to clients in user-friendly Excel deliverables and on-line query tools.

For more information, or to subscribe to the research, please contact Jackie Kliem at 508-988-7984 or jkliem@idc.com.

Click here to learn about IDC's full suite of data products and how you can leverage them to grow your business.

About IDC

International Data Corporation (IDC) is the premier global provider of market intelligence, advisory services, and events for the information technology, telecommunications, and consumer technology markets. With more than 1,300 analysts worldwide, IDC offers global, regional, and local expertise on technology, IT benchmarking and sourcing, and industry opportunities and trends in over 110 countries. IDC's analysis and insight helps IT professionals, business executives, and the investment community to make fact-based technology decisions and to achieve their key business objectives. Founded in 1964, IDC is a wholly owned subsidiary of International Data Group (IDG), the world's leading tech media, data, and marketing services company. To learn more about IDC, please visit www.idc.com. Follow IDC on Twitter at @IDC and LinkedIn. Subscribe to the IDC Blog for industry news and insights.

All product and company names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective holders.

Global shipments of PC workstations declined 22.2% in Q4 2022 as IT device spending slowed amidst economic concerns and fulfillment of backlogged orders, according to the IDC Worldwide Quarterly Workstation Tracker.

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