KBRA assigns a long-term rating of BBB with a Stable Outlook to the Board of Education of the City of Chicago's Unlimited Tax General Obligation Bonds (Dedicated Revenues), Series 2023A .

Concurrently, KBRA affirms the long-term ratings on the Board of Education of the City of Chicago’s outstanding General Obligation bonds. The Board’s long-term ratings incorporate KBRA’s understanding that the property taxes that secure certain outstanding Board Series should likely be treated as “special revenues”, as defined under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code in a Chapter 9 proceeding. Those Series which have legal opinions provided by the Board to KBRA that have been reviewed by KBRA’s outside counsel are affirmed at BBB+. For those Series without associated special revenue legal opinions, the BBB rating is affirmed. The Outlook for all bonds remains stable.

The assigned long-term rating recognizes CPS’s satisfactory financial position, underscored by a trend of enhanced State aid support, the enactment of dedicated sources for pension funding, and most recently, ample federal stimulus funding supporting balanced operating performance. Attributable to an improved State funding mechanism enacted in 2018, the Board’s unassigned general operating fund balance is vastly improved from the FYE 2017, and prior years’ accumulated deficit position. KBRA’s expectation is that structural budgetary balance will be maintained, as remaining stimulus funding is obligated and expended through FY 2015, and that the Board will continue to make necessary adjustments to adhere to this standard. KBRA will continue to monitor financial operations and performance, as future budgetary imbalance would place downward pressure on the rating. Additionally, the adoption of an elected school board, beginning in 2025, will represent a significant change in Board administrative structure. KBRA will monitor Board practices and policies as the legislation takes effect to determine whether fiscal discipline is maintained.

Key Credit Considerations

The rating was assigned because of the following key credit considerations:

Credit Positives

• Strong security structure, with the pledge of alternate revenues as primary source of repayment and a dedicated property tax levy as a secondary source. The dedicated property tax levy, if required, is deposited directly with the Bond Trustee.
• Evidenced Based Funding formula has increased state education aid revenues and includes hold harmless provisions which effectively remove funding risk related to enrollment declines.
• The Board’s annual pension costs are now largely covered by the dedicated pension property tax levy and the state contribution for normal pension costs under the new State funding formula.

Credit Challenges

• The liquidity position of the Board remains narrow, with continued reliance on significant levels of short-term borrowing to support operations at times during the fiscal year.
• While revenue actions and reforms by the State have stabilized Board financial operations and allowed for structural improvement, KBRA views the Board’s financial condition as still challenged, given the near-term full utilization of federal stimulus funds and looming decisions on programs initiated during the pandemic.

Rating Sensitivities

For upgrade:

• Sustained improvement in the Board’s liquidity position.
• Structurally balanced financial operations going forward.

For downgrade:

• Deterioration in liquidity position of the Board.
• Operating deficits that are addressed by one-time revenues.
• The absence of structural budgetary balance, thus eroding the Board's general operating reserve position.
• Absence of adherence to fiscal discipline and adoption of credit negative policies by future elected school boards.

To access rating and relevant documents, click here.

Methodologies

Public Finance: U.S. Local Government General Obligation Rating Methodology

ESG Global Rating Methodology

Disclosures

A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.

Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.

Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.

About KBRAS

Kroll Bond Rating Agency, LLC (KBRA) is a full-service credit rating agency registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as an NRSRO. Kroll Bond Rating Agency Europe Limited is registered as a CRA with the European Securities and Markets Authority. Kroll Bond Rating Agency UK Limited is registered as a CRA with the UK Financial Conduct Authority. In addition, KBRA is designated as a designated rating organization by the Ontario Securities Commission for issuers of asset-backed securities to file a short form prospectus or shelf prospectus. KBRA is also recognized by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners as a Credit Rating Provider.

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