Organizations use of cloud is moving to the next level of maturity, spurring adoption of a cross-functional set of services to drive innovation in a digital-first economy. These foundational cloud services (FCS) for compute, data, and app frameworks will drive competitive development across the whole cloud market. A new forecast from International Data Corporation (IDC) estimates that annual recurring revenue (ARR) derived from FCS will increase from just under $100 billion in 2020 to more than $300 billion in 2025 with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.8%.

"Digital is now a permanent, yet dynamic fixture in our world, built on the digital infrastructure and platform technologies of a cloud foundation," said Rick Villars, group vice president, Worldwide Research at IDC. "When organizations want to pursue some digital-based capability or intelligently leverage data to their advantage, they can do so because they have rapid access to the foundational cloud services offered by the leading cloud services providers."

IDC defines Foundational Cloud Services as the Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), and System Infrastructure as a Service (SISaaS) markets where the top eight public cloud services providers (Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Google, Alibaba Group, IBM, Tencent, Huawei, and Oracle) held a combined market share greater than 60% in 2020. These include the following key service portfolios:

• Compute Services: Virtualized x86 Compute, Bare Metal Compute, Block Storage, Accelerated Compute, Other Compute, and Software-Defined Compute Software.
• Data Services: Data Management Systems, Object Storage, File Storage, and Event Stream Processing Software.
• App Framework Services: Integration Software, Deployment-Centric Application Platforms, and AI Lifecycle Software.
• Usage Multiplier Services: Low or no fee services that encourage greater/more effective use of high value services by making it easier to adopt, connect, deploy, track, secure, and update those services. Includes load balancing and DNS as well as marketplaces and bundles of open-source software solutions.

Combined, the services within these portfolios accounted for more than half of all IaaS, PaaS, and SISaaS revenue in 2020 and are expected to grow to more than two thirds of all revenue in 2025.

Several factors are behind the rising demand for foundational cloud services rather than similar IaaS and PaaS services from individual providers. The available, affordable, and standardized infrastructure offered by FCS gives developers the ability to rapidly build, test, and deploy innovative applications. The availability of multiple deployment options (hybrid cloud) and technologies that bring portability to applications (containers) enable customers to choose the best matched cloud provider for a given workload. Service-based consumption of IT infrastructure enables end users to reduce capital spending, optimize operating expenses, and focus the efforts of IT personnel on achieving business goals rather than routine infrastructure/data management. Finally, data-centric foundational cloud services can provide fully automated data capabilities that address the significant increases in data volumes and storage associated with mobile and edge (IoT) devices.

IDC expects organizations will adopt a range of strategies for embracing FCS portfolios. Some will select a primary FCS partner while others will choose more diversified cloud deployment strategies. Regardless of the FCS strategy selected, enterprises will place a high priority on extensions to providers’ FCS portfolios in the areas of expanded service deployment options (edge, network, and core), automated governance services (manage, optimize, secure), and robust partner ecosystems.

"Demand for FCS is increasing, indicating customer expectations are being met by the providers in these areas. However, this is no time to rest. In a market characterized by rapid innovation, FCS providers must continually prove that they are willing to invest in innovation at a high level,” said Lara Greden, research director, Platform as a Service (PaaS) at IDC. “Customers are seeking outcomes, not technology solutions. The key will be to differentiate, build mindshare, and redefine/productize portfolios by use cases."

The IDC report, Worldwide Foundational Cloud Services Forecast 2021-2025: The Base of the Digital-First Economy (Doc #US46058921), provides a new perspective on the 2021—2025 market trends and outlook for foundational infrastructure and platform cloud services. The presentation also provides insights from IDC's cloud analysts around the world on the different strategies that enterprises will adopt to align their use of the offerings from FCS providers with their own digital priorities.

About IDC

International Data Corporation (IDC) is the premier global provider of market intelligence, advisory services, and events for the information technology, telecommunications, and consumer technology markets. With more than 1,100 analysts worldwide, IDC offers global, regional, and local expertise on technology, IT benchmarking and sourcing, and industry opportunities and trends in over 110 countries. IDC's analysis and insight helps IT professionals, business executives, and the investment community to make fact-based technology decisions and to achieve their key business objectives. Founded in 1964, IDC is a wholly owned subsidiary of International Data Group (IDG), the world's leading tech media, data, and marketing services company. To learn more about IDC, please visit www.idc.com. Follow IDC on Twitter at @IDC and LinkedIn. Subscribe to the IDC Blog for industry news and insights.

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A new IDC forecast estimates that annual recurring revenue from foundational cloud services (IaaS, PaaS, SISaaS) will grow to more than $300 billion in 2025 with a compound annual growth rate of 28.8%.