DELAWARE | 1-14569 | 76-0582150 | ||
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(IRS Employer Identification No.) |
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Guidance 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
3 Months Ending | 12 Months Ending | |||||||||||||||||
March 31, 2008 | December 31, 2008 | |||||||||||||||||
Low | High | Low | High | |||||||||||||||
Segment Profit |
||||||||||||||||||
Net revenues (including equity earnings
from unconsolidated entities) |
$ | 358 | $ | 372 | $ | 1,476 | $ | 1,511 | ||||||||||
Field operating costs |
(146 | ) | (142 | ) | (578 | ) | (568 | ) | ||||||||||
General and administrative expenses |
(46 | ) | (44 | ) | (172 | ) | (167 | ) | ||||||||||
166 | 186 | 726 | 776 | |||||||||||||||
Depreciation and amortization expense |
(47 | ) | (45 | ) | (192 | ) | (186 | ) | ||||||||||
Interest expense, net |
(42 | ) | (40 | ) | (175 | ) | (168 | ) | ||||||||||
Income tax expense |
(1 | ) | (1 | ) | (3 | ) | (3 | ) | ||||||||||
Other income (expense), net |
| | | | ||||||||||||||
Net Income |
$ | 76 | $ | 100 | $ | 356 | $ | 419 | ||||||||||
Net Income to Limited Partners |
$ | 51 | $ | 75 | $ | 257 | $ | 319 | ||||||||||
Basic Net Income Per Limited Partner Unit |
||||||||||||||||||
Weighted Average Units Outstanding |
116 | 116 | 116 | 116 | ||||||||||||||
Net Income Per Unit |
$ | 0.44 | $ | 0.65 | $ | 2.21 | $ | 2.75 | ||||||||||
Diluted Net Income Per Limited Partner Unit |
||||||||||||||||||
Weighted Average Units Outstanding |
117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | ||||||||||||||
Net Income Per Unit |
$ | 0.44 | $ | 0.64 | $ | 2.20 | $ | 2.73 | ||||||||||
EBIT |
$ | 119 | $ | 141 | $ | 534 | $ | 590 | ||||||||||
EBITDA |
$ | 166 | $ | 186 | $ | 726 | $ | 776 | ||||||||||
Selected Items Impacting Comparability |
||||||||||||||||||
Equity compensation charge |
$ | (9 | ) | $ | (9 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | $ | (34 | ) | ||||||
Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability |
||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Segment Profit |
||||||||||||||||||
Transportation |
$ | 87 | $ | 92 | $ | 374 | $ | 387 | ||||||||||
Facilities |
31 | 34 | 146 | 153 | ||||||||||||||
Marketing |
57 | 69 | 240 | 270 | ||||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA |
$ | 175 | $ | 195 | $ | 760 | $ | 810 | ||||||||||
Adjusted Net Income |
$ | 85 | $ | 109 | $ | 390 | $ | 453 | ||||||||||
Adjusted Basic Net Income per Limited Partner Unit |
$ | 0.52 | $ | 0.73 | $ | 2.50 | $ | 3.03 | ||||||||||
Adjusted Diluted Net Income per Limited Partner Unit |
$ | 0.52 | $ | 0.72 | $ | 2.48 | $ | 3.01 | ||||||||||
(1) | The projected average foreign exchange rate is $1 CAD to $1 USD. The rate as of February 12, 2008 was $1.00 CAD to $1 USD. |
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1. | Definitions. |
Bcf
|
Billion cubic feet | |
EBIT
|
Earnings before interest and taxes | |
EBITDA
|
Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation and amortization expense | |
Bbls/d
|
Barrels per day | |
Segment Profit
|
Net revenues (including equity earnings, as applicable) less purchases, field operating costs, and segment general and administrative expenses | |
LTIP
|
Long-Term Incentive Plan | |
LPG
|
Liquefied petroleum gas and other natural gas related petroleum products | |
FX
|
Foreign currency exchange | |
General
partner
|
As the context requires, general partner refers to any or all of (i) PAA GP LLC, the owner of our 2% general partner interest, (ii) Plains AAP, L.P., the sole member of PAA GP LLC and owner of our incentive distribution rights and (iii) Plains All American GP LLC, the general partner of Plains AAP, L.P. | |
Class
B units |
Class B units of Plains AAP, L.P. |
2. | Business Segments. We manage our operations through three operating segments: (i) Transportation, (ii) Facilities, and (iii) Marketing. The following is a brief explanation of the operating activities for each segment as well as key metrics. |
a. | Transportation. Our transportation segment operations generally consist of fee-based activities associated with transporting crude oil and refined products on pipelines, gathering systems, trucks and barges. We generate revenue through a combination of tariffs, third-party leases of pipeline capacity and transportation fees. We also include in this segment our equity earnings from our investments in the Butte and Frontier pipeline systems, in which we own minority interests, and Settoon Towing, in which we own a 50% interest. | ||
Pipeline volume estimates are based on historical trends, anticipated future operating performance and completion of internal growth projects. Volumes are influenced by temporary market-driven storage and withdrawal of oil, maintenance schedules at refineries, production declines and other external factors beyond our control. Segment profit is forecast using the volume assumptions in the table below, priced at forecasted tariff rates, less estimated field operating costs and G&A expenses. Field operating costs do not include depreciation. Actual segment profit could vary materially depending on the level of volumes transported or expenses incurred during the period. | |||
The following table summarizes our total pipeline volumes and highlights major systems that are significant either in total volumes transported or in contribution to total transportation segment profit. |
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2008 Guidance | ||||||||
Three Months | Twelve Months | |||||||
Ending | Ending | |||||||
March 31 | December 31 | |||||||
Average Daily Volumes (000 Bbls/d) |
||||||||
All American |
48 | 48 | ||||||
Basin |
360 | 360 | ||||||
Capline / Capwood |
350 | 350 | ||||||
Line 63 / 2000 |
175 | 175 | ||||||
Salt Lake
City Area Systems(1) |
105 | 120 | ||||||
West Texas / New Mexico Area Systems(1) |
380 | 380 | ||||||
Manito |
75 | 75 | ||||||
Rangeland |
55 | 55 | ||||||
Refined Products |
110 | 110 | ||||||
Other |
1,067 | 1,067 | ||||||
2,725 | 2,740 | |||||||
Trucking |
105 | 110 | ||||||
2,830 | 2,850 | |||||||
Average Segment Profit ($/Bbl) |
||||||||
Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability |
$ | 0.35 | (2) | $ | 0.36 | (2) | ||
(1) | The aggregate of multiple systems in the respective areas. | |
(2) | Mid-point of guidance. |
b. | Facilities. Our facilities segment operations generally consist of fee-based activities associated with providing storage, terminalling and throughput services for crude oil, refined products and LPG, as well as LPG fractionation and isomerization services. We generate revenue through a combination of month-to-month and multi-year leases and processing arrangements. This segment also includes our equity earnings from our 50% investment in PAA/Vulcan Gas Storage, LLC which owns and operates approximately 25.7 billion cubic feet of underground natural gas storage capacity and is constructing an additional 24 Bcf of underground storage capacity. | ||
Segment profit is forecast using the volume assumptions in the table below, priced at forecasted rates, less estimated field operating costs and G&A expenses. Field operating costs do not include depreciation. |
2008 Guidance | ||||||||
Three Months | Twelve Months | |||||||
Ending | Ending | |||||||
March 31 | December 31 | |||||||
Operating Data |
||||||||
Crude oil, refined products and LPG storage (MMBbls/Mo.) |
46 | 50 | ||||||
Natural Gas Storage (Bcf/Mo.) |
13 | 14 | ||||||
LPG Processing (MBbl/d) |
16 | 19 | ||||||
Facilities Activities Total 1 |
||||||||
Avg. Capacity (MMBbls/Mo.) |
49 | 53 | ||||||
Segment Profit per Barrel ($/Bbl) |
||||||||
Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability |
$ | 0.22 | (2) | $ | 0.23 | (2) | ||
(1) | Calculated as the sum of: (i) crude oil, refined products and LPG storage capacity; (ii) natural gas storage capacity divided by 6 to account for the 6:1 mcf of gas to crude oil barrel ratio; and (iii) LPG processing volumes multiplied by the number of days in the month and divided by 1,000 to convert to monthly capacity in millions. | |
(2) | Mid-point of guidance. |
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c. | Marketing. Our marketing segment operations generally consist of the following merchant activities: |
| the purchase of U.S. and Canadian crude oil at the wellhead and the bulk purchase of crude oil at pipeline and terminal facilities, as well as the purchase of foreign cargoes at their load port and various other locations in transit; | ||
| the storage of inventory during contango market conditions and the seasonal storage of LPG; | ||
| the purchase of refined products and LPG from producers, refiners and other marketers; | ||
| the resale or exchange of crude oil, refined products and LPG at various points along the distribution chain to refiners or other resellers to maximize profits; and | ||
| arranging for the transportation of crude oil, refined products and LPG on trucks, barges, railcars, pipelines and ocean-going vessels to our terminals and third-party terminals. |
2008 Guidance | ||||||||
Three Months | Twelve Months | |||||||
Ending | Ending | |||||||
March 31 | December 31 | |||||||
Average Daily Volumes (MBbl/d) |
||||||||
Crude Oil Lease Gathering |
690 | 685 | ||||||
LPG Sales |
135 | 105 | ||||||
Refined Products |
20 | 30 | ||||||
Waterborne foreign crude imported |
75 | 75 | ||||||
920 | 895 | |||||||
Segment Profit per Barrel ($/Bbl) |
||||||||
Excluding Selected Items Impacting Comparability |
$ | 0.75 | (1) | $ | 0.78 | (1) | ||
(1) | Mid-point of guidance. |
3. | Depreciation and Amortization. We forecast depreciation and amortization based on our existing depreciable assets, forecasted capital expenditures and projected in-service dates. Depreciation is computed using the straight-line method over estimated useful lives, which range from 3 years (for office furniture and equipment) to 40 years (for certain pipelines, crude oil terminals and facilities) and includes gains and losses on the sale of assets. |
4. | Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133 Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, as amended (SFAS 133). The guidance presented above does not include assumptions or projections with respect to potential gains or losses related to derivatives accounted for under SFAS 133, as there is no accurate |
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way to forecast these potential gains or losses. The potential gains or losses related to these derivatives (primarily mark-to-market adjustments) could cause actual net income to differ materially from our projections. |
5. | Capital Expenditures and Acquisitions. Although acquisitions constitute a key element of our growth strategy, the forecasted results and associated estimates do not include any forecasts for acquisitions that may be made after the date hereof. Capital expenditures for expansion projects are forecasted to be approximately $330 million during calendar 2008. Following are some of the more notable projects and forecasted expenditures for the year: |
Calendar 2008 | ||||
(in millions) | ||||
Expansion Capital |
||||
Patoka tankage |
$ | 43 | ||
Kerrobert facility |
36 | |||
Paulsboro tankage |
30 | |||
Fort Laramie Tank Expansion |
22 | |||
West Hynes tankage |
13 | |||
Edmonton tankage and connections |
12 | |||
Bumstead expansion |
10 | |||
Pier 400(1) |
10 | |||
Other Projects(2) |
154 | |||
330 | ||||
Maintenance Capital |
60 | |||
Total Projected Capital Expenditures (excluding acquisitions) |
$ | 390 | ||
(1) | This project requires approval from a number of city and state regulatory agencies in California. Accordingly, the timing and amount of additional costs, if any, related to Pier 400 are not certain at this time. | |
(2) | Primarily pipeline connections, upgrades and truck stations as well as new tank construction and refurbishing. |
6. | Capital Structure. This guidance is based on our capital structure as of December 31, 2007. The Partnerships policy is to finance acquisitions and major growth capital projects with at least 50% equity or cash flow in excess of distributions. As a result of our equity financing activities in 2007 combined with our projected 2008 cash flows in excess of distributions, we have substantially pre-funded all of the required equity financing associated with our 2008 expansion capital program. |
7. | Interest Expense. Debt balances are projected based on estimated cash flows, current distribution rates, forecasted capital expenditures for maintenance and expansion projects, expected timing of collections and payments, and forecasted levels of inventory and other working capital sources and uses. |
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8. | Net Income per Unit. Basic net income per limited partner unit is calculated by dividing net income allocated to limited partners by the basic weighted average units outstanding during the period. |
Guidance (in millions, except per unit data) | ||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ending | Twelve Months Ending | |||||||||||||||
March 31, 2008 | December 31, 2008 | |||||||||||||||
Low | High | Low | High | |||||||||||||
Numerator for basic and diluted earnings per limited partner unit: |
||||||||||||||||
Net Income |
$ | 76 | $ | 100 | $ | 356 | $ | 419 | ||||||||
General partners incentive distribution |
(27 | ) | (27 | ) | (109 | ) | (109 | ) | ||||||||
General partners incentive distribution reduction |
4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | ||||||||||||
53 | 77 | 262 | 325 | |||||||||||||
General partner 2% ownership |
(2 | ) | (2 | ) | (5 | ) | (6 | ) | ||||||||
Net income available to limited partners |
$ | 51 | $ | 75 | $ | 257 | $ | 319 | ||||||||
Denominator: |
||||||||||||||||
Denominator for basic earnings per limited partner unit-weighted average number of limited partner units |
116 | 116 | 116 | 116 | ||||||||||||
Effect of dilutive securities: |
||||||||||||||||
Weighted average LTIP units |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
Denominator for diluted earnings per limited partner unit-weighted average number of limited partner units |
117 | 117 | 117 | 117 | ||||||||||||
Basic net income per limited partner unit |
$ | 0.44 | $ | 0.65 | $ | 2.21 | $ | 2.75 | ||||||||
Diluted net income per limited partner unit |
$ | 0.44 | $ | 0.64 | $ | 2.20 | $ | 2.73 | ||||||||
9. | Equity Compensation Plans. The majority of grants outstanding under our equity compensation plans (LTIP and Class B units) contain vesting criteria that are based on a combination of performance benchmarks and service period. The grants will vest in various percentages, typically on the later to occur of specified earliest vesting dates and the dates on which minimum distribution levels are reached. Among the various grants, vesting dates range from May 2008 to May 2012 and minimum annualized distribution levels range from $2.80 to $4.50. For some awards, a percentage of any remaining units will vest on a date certain in 2011 or 2012. | |
On January 16, 2008, we declared an annualized distribution of $3.40 payable on February 14, 2008 to our unitholders of record as of February 4, 2008. In addition to achieving the distribution level of $3.40, we have deemed probable that the $3.50 distribution level will be achieved. Accordingly, for grants that vest at annualized distribution levels of $3.50 or less, guidance includes an accrual over the applicable service period at an assumed market price of |
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$52.00 per unit as well as the fair value associated with awards that will vest on a date certain. For 2008, the guidance includes approximately $39 million of expense associated with these equity compensation plans. The actual amount of equity compensation expense amortization in any given year will be directly influenced by (i) our unit price at the end of each reporting period, (ii) our unit price on the date of actual vesting, (iii) the amount of amortization in the early years, (iv) the probability assessment of achieving future distribution rates, and (v) new equity compensation award grants. For example, a $3.00 change in the unit price assumption at March 31, 2008 would change the first quarter equity compensation expense by $3 million $1 million for the current quarter and $2 million for the life-to-date adjustment to the liability accrued in prior periods. Therefore, actual net income could differ materially from our projections. | ||
Included in equity compensation expense highlighted in selected items impacting comparability for 2008 is approximately $8 million of expense attributable to the Class B units. Since the economic burden of the Class B units is borne solely by the General Partner and not the Partnership, the expense will be reflected as a capital contribution and thus will result in a corresponding credit to Partners Capital in the financial statements of the Partnership. | ||
The amount of equity compensation expense highlighted in selected items impacting comparability for 2008 excludes the portion of the expense represented by awards that pursuant to their terms, will be settled in cash only ($5 million) and have no impact in the determination of diluted units. | ||
10. | Reconciliation of EBITDA and EBIT to Net Income. The following table reconciles the 2008 guidance ranges for EBITDA and EBIT to net income. |
Three Months Ending | Twelve Months Ending | |||||||||||||||
March 31, 2008 | December 31, 2008 | |||||||||||||||
Low | High | Low | High | |||||||||||||
(in millions) | (in millions) | |||||||||||||||
Reconciliation to Net Income |
||||||||||||||||
EBITDA |
$ | 166 | $ | 186 | $ | 726 | $ | 776 | ||||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
47 | 45 | 192 | 186 | ||||||||||||
EBIT |
119 | 141 | 534 | 590 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense |
42 | 40 | 175 | 168 | ||||||||||||
Income tax expense |
1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||||||
Net Income |
$ | 76 | $ | 100 | $ | 356 | $ | 419 | ||||||||
| failure to implement or capitalize on planned internal growth projects; | ||
| the success of our risk management activities; | ||
| environmental liabilities or events that are not covered by an indemnity, insurance or existing reserves; | ||
| maintenance of our credit rating and ability to receive open credit from our suppliers and trade counterparties; | ||
| abrupt or severe declines or interruptions in outer continental shelf production located offshore California and transported on our pipeline systems; | ||
| shortages or cost increases of power supplies, materials or labor; |
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| the availability of adequate third-party production volumes for transportation and marketing in the areas in which we operate, and other factors that could cause declines in volumes shipped on our pipelines by us and third-party shippers; | ||
| fluctuations in refinery capacity in areas supplied by our mainlines and other factors affecting demand for various grades of crude oil, refined products and natural gas and resulting changes in pricing conditions or transmission throughput requirements; | ||
| the availability of, and our ability to consummate, acquisition or combination opportunities; | ||
| our access to capital to fund additional acquisitions and our ability to obtain debt or equity financing on satisfactory terms; | ||
| successful integration and future performance of acquired assets or businesses and the risks associated with operating in lines of business that are distinct and separate from our historical operations; | ||
| unanticipated changes in crude oil market structure and volatility (or lack thereof); | ||
| the impact of current and future laws, rulings and governmental regulations; | ||
| the effects of competition; | ||
| continued creditworthiness of, and performance by, our counterparties; | ||
| interruptions in service and fluctuations in tariffs or volumes on third-party pipelines; | ||
| increased costs or lack of availability of insurance: | ||
| fluctuations in the debt and equity markets, including the price of our units at the time of vesting under our long-term incentive plans; | ||
| the currency exchange rate of the Canadian dollar; | ||
| weather interference with business operations or project construction; | ||
| risks related to the development and operation of natural gas storage facilities; | ||
| general economic, market or business conditions; and | ||
| other factors and uncertainties inherent in the transportation, storage, terminalling and marketing of crude oil, refined products and liquefied petroleum gas and other natural gas related petroleum products. |
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PLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE, L.P.
By: PAA GP LLC, its general partner By: PLAINS AAP, L. P., its sole member By: PLAINS ALL AMERICAN GP LLC, its general partner |
||||
Date: February 13, 2008 | By: | /s/ PHIL KRAMER | ||
Name: | Phil Kramer | |||
Title: | Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer |
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